Had some decent success in Week 3 staying in the green. Le’Veon Bell is finally back ($7500) and won’t be cheaper. I will have a large share of him in my lineups this week. Stacking WRs, TEs and QBs from one team then going Bell.
I like a lot of stacks in Week 4. The Bears and Lions have a good matchup to target. The Lions with Matthew Stafford($7300), Marvin Jones($7300), Golden Tate($5800) and Eric Ebron($3700) is an interesting stack. I would probably go with Tate over Jones and get an expensive receiver with the savings.
Brian Hoyer($5000) with Alshon Jeffrey($7500), Zach Miller($2700), and Kevin White($3400) is another stack I like. I could see a ticket with all 4 with that price and get Le’Veon or Antonio. I would probably go with Alshon if he is healthy but could go White for the upside. White had 14 targets in Week 3.
Cam Newton($7800) and the Panthers just got spanked against the Vikings and I expect retribution in Week 4. The Panthers are playing the Falcons who just gave up a ton of points in Week 3 against the Saints. Cam Newton with Kelvin Benjamin($7100), Tedd Ginn($3700), and Greg Olsen($6000) is another good stack. I would go with Benjamin but Ginn is so cheap that I can see using all four. For the Falcons, I might just pick one of the RBs, probably Tevin Coleman who is still cheap at $4500.
The New Orleans Saints are playing the San Diego Chargers in Week 4 at San Diego. Drew Brees struggles away from home, so I would probably avoid stacks with Brees. Phillip Rivers, on the other hand, will be a popular stack in Week 4. Rivers($6900) with Travis Benjamin($5900), Tyrell Williams($4400), Antonio Gates($4600) (assuming health), and Hunter Henry($2700). I would probably avoid Gates at that price but add the others. Henry was 5 targets for 5 receptions for 76 yards in Week 3. 10 points for $2700 is a great value.
I could see a Raiders and Ravens stack when they play each other in Week 4. Derek Carr($6700) with Amri Cooper($7600), Micheal Crabtree($6400), and Clive Walford($2700). I won’t have too many of these stacks since they are all relatively expensive.
Ravens with Joe Flacco($5900), Mike Wallace($5200), Steve Smith($4500), Breshad Perriman($3000), and Dennis Pitta($3900). I think both these offenses can take advantage of the opponents defense. I can see having more Raven stacks this week for the price. I know I will have a ton of Steve Smith and Dennis Pitta, regardless of the stack.
DFS Tentpoles (players in most of my lineups)
These players are littered throughout my lineups to get more elite players in the lineup. I put the players I really liked in bold. Some popular players this week will be:
- Dwayne Washington $3300 – Ameer Abdullah out, Washington takes over goal line
- Jordan Howard $3700 – Assumed starter for Chicago
- Tevin Coleman $4500 – Starter for Falcons with decent price
- Theo Riddick $5200 – Getting more expensive but I like the matchup
- Spencer Ware $5700 – had a few tough matchups, should be ready to go vs Pittsburgh
- Fozzy Whittaker $3900 – Could be a higher scoring game, good price
- Steve Smith $4500 – so many targets
- Tyrell Williams $4400 – playing the Saints
- Tyrel Pryor $4300 – elite athleticism, throws, runs, catches
- John Brown $4300 – Getting back into the grove with Week 3 performance
- Jamison Crowder $4200 – 25 targets going into Week 4
- Tavon Austin $4000 – Rams moving in the right direction
- Michael Thomas $3800 – Big game with Snead out
- Ted Ginn $3700 – always big play potential
- Devin Funchess $3600 – cheap WR to stack with Newton
- Kevin White $3400 – 14 targets in Week 3 with Hoyer at QB
- Jaron Brown $3300 – Micheal Floyd in concussion protocol
- Andre Johnson $3200 – Revenge game? Cheap play to get elites elsewhere
- Josh Doctson $3000 – Assuming health
- Breshad Perriman $3000 – cheap WR stack with Flacco
- Dennis Pitta $3900 – Great price, 20 targets in last 2 games
- Eric Ebron $3700 – 20 targets through Week 3, Red zone target
- Martellus Bennet $3500 – cheap price with Gronk on the mend, assuming Garapolo
- Jesse James $3100 – attached to great offense, cheap, always on the field
- Cameron Brate $2800 – ASJ cut, Bucs throw a lot
- Clive Walford $2700 – cheap price with decent matchup
- Zach Miller $2700 – cheap price with great matchup
- Vance McDonald $2700 – cheap price, limited options in SF
- Broncos $3700 – Winston is turnover prone
- Redskins $3500 – vs the Browns
- Jets $2800 – cheap DST, Seahawks struggles this year against average DST
- Chargers $2300 – Brees not at home
San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are continuing the unprecedented streak of injuries from 2015. This week the Chargers LB core lost Manti Te’o for the season with an Achilles tear. The Chargers offense has already lost RB Branden Oliver, RB Danny Woodhead, WR Keenan Allen and TE Jeff Cumberland. Now Antonio Gates is dealing with an injury severe enough to keep him out of Week 3 against the Colts. Joey Bosa, 1st round draft pick in 2016, is still sidelined with a hamstring injury. Bosa held out his contract signing until the 2016 season basically started. Brandon Flowers is dealing with a concussion on top of all the other injuries. Lots of recent defensive injuries that will make the San Diego Chargers a target for offensive fantasy players.
The fantasy relevance here is that the Chargers will be easier to run against for Mark Ingram and the New Orlean Saints in Week 4. Hunter Henry becomes a streaming option at TE if Antonio Gates is out Week 4. Henry’s Week 3 stat line was highly efficient; 5 targets, 5 receptions for 76 yards. Henry has a ton of upside as an athletic TE with Phillip Rivers throwing to him. The Chargers have plus matchups the next 2 weeks when they play the Saints and Raiders.
New York Giants
Shane Vereen had a season-ending injury in Week 3 against the Redskins. Torn triceps is the injury that will sideline Vereen. This leaves a vacancy for Orleans Darkwa and Bobby Rainey to seize the RB job. I don’t know if the Giants backfield is more than a running back committee but both Rainey and Darkwa are worth the roster spot. The Giants, with Week 3 as an exception, are a high powered offense with many points to be spread around. My gut says Rainey is the better stash with Rashad Jennings, dealing with a thumb injury, potentially making his way back in the near future. Rainey is a knucklehead who has fumbling problems but fits that change of pace back role that can explode for fantasy owners.
The other big injury is 1st round draft pick Eli Apple was sideline due to a hamstring injury. Apple has quietly been a contributor to the Giants defense and will hurt the defense if he is unhealthy. Free Saftey Darian Thompson is dealing with a foot injury and has a week to week availability.
The fantasy relevance here is that the Giants will be easier to throw on and opportunity to get an RB off the waivers. I like Rainey as an add in Week 4 because I like the player and he will be cheap.
Ryan Mathews is injured, surprised? Probably not. Mathews was non-existent in Week 3 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The RB situation is muddled. Wendell Smallwood looked great on his handful of plays. Darren Sproles went crazy with big runs for TDs. Kenjon Barner looked equally as impressive as Smallwood. The Eagles in 2016 are like the Kansas City Chiefs without the elite RB in Jamaal Charles. I think Smallwood will be the popular add but I’m not quite sold. I think the sneaky play is Kenjon Barner and I don’t think you will have much competition in the waivers or FAAB.
The other news is that the Eagles DST can be considered a weekly starter. The offense is a ball hog, even more than the Dallas Cowboys(Source). That was an interesting stat I learned this week. The idea here is that rested defenders play better, they do not give up big plays and stay fresh. The Eagles are #3 in Yahoo PPR leagues for DST. The Eagles have a bye in Week 4 but have good matchups following the bye against the Lions and Redskins.
The fantasy relevance here is the Eagles DST needs to be owned and there is a temporary, or maybe not temporary since we are talking about Ryan Mathews, RB vacancy in a run first offense. Kenjon Barner and Wendell Smallwood are likely to split Mathews work while he is out.
Jordan Cameron sustained another concussion in Week 3 against the Cleveland Browns. Cameron hasn’t looked the same since he exploded on the scene when he was playing for the Browns. I would steer clear of this offense in general and away from Cameron. Arian Foster looks like he is going to miss Week 4 against the Bengals. The Bengals have a solid defense and I wouldn’t look to start any Dolphins RB this week. The Bengals shut down CJ Anderson in Week 3. In a plus matchup, the Dolphins RBBC Jay Ajayi, Kenyan
In a plus matchup, the Dolphins RBBC Jay Ajayi, Kenyan Drake, and Damien Williams split the touches in a way that would make it hard to be confident in starting them against a good defense.
The fantasy relevance here is waiting for unless you are desperate I wouldn’t start a Dolphins RB against the Bengals. Thursday night games are sporadic and I would hate to see a bad start for any fantasy owners out there unless you are playing me of course. But seriously, don’t start them. Jordan Cameron can be dropped for TE streamers. Hunter Henry, Dennis Pitta, Jacob Tamme, Vance McDonald, Zach Miller, Jack Doyle, Richard Rodgers and Brent Celek are waiver options.
DeAngelo Hall is lost for the season with an ACL injury. Bashaud Breeland is also dealing with an ankle injury and is week to week. The secondary is going to be easier to throw against without Hall and potentially Breeland. The Redskins haven’t been particularly good at stopping the pass before the injuries(Source). The Redskins are allowing 300+ yards per game in 2016. Part of that is new players to the defense and the other is playing elite offenses. I don’t see any of the DB news as positive. I won’t be scared to target the Redskins secondary.
Josh Doctson was out in Week 3 dealing with his Achilles injury. He is a stash until his injury is healed up. I wouldn’t be surprised if he is on the waivers by the end of the week.
Fantasy Relevance here is to not worry about the Josh Norman effect in the Redskins secondary. The Redskins haven’t been able to stop WRs with their starters playing, now they will be missing their starters.
I played 3 tickets this week and was paid out in two fo them. I had a Giants stack for my 3rd lineup with Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr, and Sterling Shepard. The Giants did well but I had Jerick McKinnon, Travis Benjamin, Julius Thomas and Jeremy Maclin too, which all missed pretty bad. That is enough talk about my missed lineup. We are here to talk about what works! I missed the window to add more because of poor planning. I had a few players across Fanduel and Draft Kings in nearly every lineup. David Johnson, Travis Benjamin, and Dolphins DST.
The first lineup with the Dolphins stack was just a bad idea. Stacking a QB with an RB is unlikely to profit. You would have to predict multiple passes out to the RB from the QB. Which is unlikely but I think I did just that.
Kenyan Drake ended up with 9 rush attempts for 37 yards and 2 receptions for 11 yards. He just didn’t get the workload I was expecting. I don’t think the Dolphins like Jay Ajayi even though he is clearly more talented. I was looking for a cheap RB and I’ll be more cognizant of the QB/RB stack in the future.
CJ Anderson was highly ineffective on the ground against Cincinnati. This is another play that I look back at and ask what was I thinking? This lineup could have won big with a hit on WR. I vow to play WRs in my flex spots going forward.
Mike Wallace had 6 targets, for 3 receptions and 34 yards. Another play that didn’t get enough usage. It didn’t help that he dropped a TD pass in the end zone either. Wallace’s price still makes him an intriguing play going forward.
Travis Benjamin had a decent game but the game was lower scoring than everyone predicted. He had 7 targets and that’s just not enough usage for DFS. I like him going forward especially if his price stays low.
Julius Thomas was a victim of Blake Bortles inefficiency in Week 3. Bortles turned the ball over 3 times and was inaccurate. I was hoping for a TD for the relatively inexpensive Julius Thomas and I was trying not to use Pitta in every lineup I had this week for some variance.
Week 3 was a decent week for Draft Kings and more importantly I stayed in the green! Better luck next Week. Thanks for reading at play2win.
I had a decent Week 3 in the fantasypros correspondent tournament. I ranked 6th out of 60+. But I had a few heavy misses at QB, WR, and TE. Missing on a few positions is the difference between 6th and 1st.
Marcus Mariota had a flat-out bad game. My thought process was to play a Mariota against the league’s worst pass defense at home and profit. Didn’t work at all. Mariota would have had 8 more points but his turnovers tanked his Fanduel value. Mariota had two fumbles and two interceptions. His quarterback rating was 3.6 against the Raiders. Ugly.
Travis Benjamin had a decent game with 7 targets, 4 receptions for 82 yards. I figured he would get a surplus of targets with an average chance of a TD, neither happened. His 7 targets of 37 pass attempts were around 19% of the target share for the Chargers in Week 3. Benjamin didn’t bust like Mariota but didn’t win you money either. I still like Benjamin going forward, this matchup should have been fantasy gold.
Dez Bryant was injured in the Sunday night’s game in Chicago. He left the game only to return later. The injury killed his fantasy points and my lineup. I hope the injury isn’t serious.
My last miss was Dennis Pitta. The only consoling fact with Pitta in my lineup is that he was owned in 39.4% of leagues. The Jaguars and Ravens game were much more about defense than offense. A ton of turnovers on each side and the Jaguars game-planned to limit Pitta. I still like Pitta going forward but I will be more cautious of the linebackers on the opposing team next time I play him.
Not a bad week for Fanduel. We are getting to the point of the season where the sample size is big enough to learn the identity of each team.
Some players to keep an eye on with all the injuries and inactive going into Week 3. Sammy Watkins is expected to miss Week 3 which downgrades Tyrod Taylor a bit. LeSean McCoy gets a minor uptick in usage. Chris Ivory isn’t playing. Matt Asiata is the starting RB in Minnesota. Thomas Rawls and CJ Prosise are inactive. Joe Haden, CB for the Browns, is out. Josh Doctson is out. Rashad Jennings is inactive and Orleans Darkwa is the starter for Week 3. Delanie Walker is out. Brandon Marshally will be used situationally, probably in the red zone. Bills, Packers defense are missing starters at DB. Packers are missing 5 defensive starters. Jamaal Charles out Week 3. Kenyan Drake gets the start in Miami at running back. Alshon Jeffrey is playing against Chicago.
List of players that I like in DFS that hopefully win some money.
QBs I like:
- Ryan Tannehill $6200
- Dak Prescott $5700
- Andrew Luck $7600
RBs I like:
- Melvin Gordon $5800
- Ezekiel Eliott $6900
- Kenyan Drake $3600
- Jay Ajayi $4000
- Dwanye Washington $3600
- Charles Sims $4900
- Theo Riddick $4900
- DeAngelo Williams $7500
WRs I like:
- Odell Beckham Jr $$9100
- Antonio Brown $9600
- Allen Robinson %7500
- Mike Evans $7000
- Travis Benjamin $5200
- Marvin Jones $6200
- Mike Wallace $5000
- Dennis Pitta $3400
- Cowboys $
- Dolphins $3000
These are most of the players I used in my lineups. Time to hit big!